Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 2
ASV
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ASV
2 - 4
SOU
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASV
1 - 2
BOU
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |