Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
SUN
3 - 1
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
ARS
1 - 3
OPA
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
TOT
3 - 1
ARS
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1955 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1955 |
BOL
4 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
ASV
0 - 2
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1955 |
BIR
2 - 2
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
CHL
0 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1955 |
ASV
0 - 0
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |