Arsenal Tula vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 0
TOR
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ZEN
2 - 2
ARS
18%
26%
57%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
RAD
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
KUB
5 - 1
ARS
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DIN
2 - 2
ARS
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 2
ZEN
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 0
RAD
70%
21%
10%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 0
FAK
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
CSK
0 - 2
TOS
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FCR
4 - 1
TOS
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |