Arsenal Tula II vs Balashikha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
12º
6º
18
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
DIN
15%
24%
61%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FKO
2 - 1
ARS
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
5 - 1
ARS
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Balashikha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
FKE
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 4
ZNA
36%
22%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
FKE
37%
21%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
KOL
5 - 4
BAL
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |