Premier League Academy U18 Sur round 26

Arsenal U18 vs Chelsea U18 analysis

Arsenal U18 Chelsea U18
41 ELO 40
22.7% Tilt 20.8%
5057º General ELO ranking 5523º
240º Country ELO ranking 274º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Arsenal U18
22.5%
Draw
40.6%
Chelsea U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
Arsenal U18
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
40.6%
Win probability
Chelsea U18
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal U18
+30%
-14%
Chelsea U18

Points and table prediction

Arsenal U18
Their league position
Chelsea U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
54
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chelsea U18
54
54
100%
West Ham U18
49
49
100%
Arsenal U18
47
47
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
45
45
100%
Fulham U18
44
44
100%
Crystal Palace U18
41
41
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
37
37
100%
Leicester U18
28
28
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
25
25
100%
Southampton U18
10º
23
23
10º
100%
Norwich City U18
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Aston Villa U18
12º
17
17
12º
0%
Reading U18
13º
17
17
13º
0%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal U18
Chelsea U18
Final Series
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Arsenal U18
Chelsea U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal U18
Arsenal U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur U18
3 - 2
Arsenal U18
ARS
27%
20%
53%
40 31 9 0
27 Apr. 2024
NOR
Norwich City U18
0 - 9
Arsenal U18
ARS
11%
15%
74%
39 20 19 +1
20 Apr. 2024
ARS
Arsenal U18
4 - 2
Aston Villa U18
AST
88%
8%
4%
39 20 19 0
13 Apr. 2024
WHU
West Ham U18
1 - 8
Arsenal U18
ARS
64%
19%
17%
37 44 7 +2
09 Apr. 2024
BHA
Brighton & Hove U18
3 - 5
Arsenal U18
ARS
33%
21%
46%
36 30 6 +1

Matches

Chelsea U18
Chelsea U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2024
SOU
Southampton U18
1 - 2
Chelsea U18
CHE
11%
15%
74%
42 24 18 0
04 May. 2024
CHE
Chelsea U18
1 - 2
Norwich City U18
NOR
88%
8%
4%
42 19 23 0
27 Apr. 2024
CHE
Chelsea U18
3 - 2
Leicester U18
LEI
82%
11%
7%
42 26 16 0
20 Apr. 2024
FUL
Fulham U18
3 - 3
Chelsea U18
CHE
29%
22%
49%
42 35 7 0
17 Apr. 2024
REA
Reading U18
1 - 4
Chelsea U18
CHE
9%
13%
78%
42 21 21 0