Arras vs Gravelines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
NOI
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
ARR
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 3
UJA
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARR
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
ARR
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 1
NOI
39%
28%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 2
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
AMI
30%
27%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 0
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
OIS
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |