CEAC / Araruama vs Maricá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
ADC
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 2
ADC
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 1
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ADC
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 0
PET
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CMA
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
PET
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CMA
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
2 - 2
OLA
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |