Arosa vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1988 |
CUL
1 - 0
ARO
55%
26%
19%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
ARO
1 - 1
EIB
31%
33%
36%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
ARO
1 - 1
ARE
62%
25%
14%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
RAC
3 - 2
ARO
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1988 |
ARO
3 - 0
GIM
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1988 |
LEM
1 - 1
ARE
60%
26%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
RAC
0 - 1
LEM
41%
29%
31%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
LEM
1 - 1
GIM
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
LAR
1 - 0
LEM
36%
29%
35%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
LEM
1 - 0
ASP
61%
24%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |