Arnett Gardens vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 3
ARN
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
HAR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MON
5 - 0
ARN
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
REN
2 - 2
HAR
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 0
REN
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REN
2 - 3
MON
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REN
0 - 1
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
REN
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |