Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Mülheim-Kärlich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
6º
12º
6º
20
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 10 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 8 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 7 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
AWA
1 - 0
ARL
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ARL
3 - 2
EIS
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
PFE
3 - 4
ARL
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ARL
3 - 3
SCK
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 3
ARL
8%
13%
79%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mülheim-Kärlich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SGM
1 - 1
JAG
15%
17%
69%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ELV
1 - 1
SGM
57%
20%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 6
MOR
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUD
2 - 0
SGM
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 4
HWI
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |