Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 3
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1980 |
ROT
2 - 2
ARB
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1980 |
ARB
6 - 0
DSC
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
BVB
3 - 1
ARB
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
ARB
2 - 2
USO
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1980 |
OSN
2 - 0
DSC
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1980 |
USO
0 - 1
OSN
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1980 |
OSN
2 - 0
AHA
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
OSN
1 - 0
HOL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
OSN
4 - 0
BAT
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |