Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
ARB
3 - 2
KOL
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 1
ARB
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 1
S04
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 0
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ARB
1 - 2
BYM
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Unterhaching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
RTV
1 - 0
UNT
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
UNT
1 - 0
EBT
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MUN
1 - 4
UNT
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UNT
2 - 0
OFC
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SGD
2 - 3
UNT
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |