Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 0
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BWB
3 - 1
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
ARB
2 - 0
TEN
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
HES
0 - 1
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
0 - 1
KÖL
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
HOM
2 - 1
DAR
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
DAR
4 - 1
EBT
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ROT
4 - 1
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
DAR
2 - 2
SVS
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
USO
2 - 0
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |