Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 0
WER
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAB
1 - 0
ARB
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
CZJ
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
ARB
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
CHE
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 2
AAA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 0
KSC
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 3
EIN
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 0
AAA
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
2 - 0
RTV
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |