A-Junioren Bundesliga West round 4

Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis

Arminia Bielefeld U19 MSV Duisburg U19
23 ELO 20
13.9% Tilt 15%
8546º General ELO ranking 9495º
474º Country ELO ranking 498º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Arminia Bielefeld U19
19.2%
Draw
17.5%
MSV Duisburg U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld U19
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.5%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg U19
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arminia Bielefeld U19
+47%
-41%
MSV Duisburg U19

ELO progression

Arminia Bielefeld U19
MSV Duisburg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld U19
Arminia Bielefeld U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2006
SGW
Wattenscheid 09 U19
1 - 3
Arminia Bielefeld U19
ARM
31%
23%
46%
22 18 4 0
27 Aug. 2006
SCH
Schalke 04 U19
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld U19
ARM
80%
14%
7%
22 50 28 0
19 Aug. 2006
ARM
Arminia Bielefeld U19
2 - 2
Alemannia Aachen U19
ALA
75%
15%
10%
23 16 7 -1
13 May. 2006
LEV
B. Leverkusen U19
2 - 5
Arminia Bielefeld U19
ARM
83%
11%
6%
21 41 20 +2
07 May. 2006
ARM
Arminia Bielefeld U19
3 - 0
VfL Leverkusen U19
LEV
79%
13%
8%
21 13 8 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg U19
MSV Duisburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2006
DUI
MSV Duisburg U19
0 - 3
Schalke 04 U19
SCH
14%
21%
65%
20 50 30 0
27 Aug. 2006
ALA
Alemannia Aachen U19
4 - 1
MSV Duisburg U19
DUI
33%
24%
43%
21 16 5 -1
20 Aug. 2006
DUI
MSV Duisburg U19
4 - 1
Köln U19
KOL
11%
18%
71%
13 44 31 +8
12 Jun. 2005
DUI
MSV Duisburg U19
3 - 6
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
FOR
40%
23%
36%
14 17 3 -1
05 Jun. 2005
SCH
Schalke 04 U19
3 - 2
MSV Duisburg U19
DUI
83%
12%
5%
14 48 34 0