Arminia Bielefeld II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
ABI
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 2
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DIE
5 - 2
ABI
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 3
BOR
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ELV
0 - 0
ABI
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 1
MSV
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 1
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
WHE
5 - 0
VFB
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VFB
3 - 3
SPE
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
WEG
1 - 3
VFB
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |