Ekstraklasa round 4

Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań analysis

Arka Gdynia Lech Poznań
74 ELO 77
-4.9% Tilt -9%
497º General ELO ranking 536º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.1%
Arka Gdynia
27.1%
Draw
34.8%
Lech Poznań

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
Arka Gdynia
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.9%
Win probability
Lech Poznań
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arka Gdynia
+4%
+19%
Lech Poznań

ELO progression

Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznań
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2008
PGL
Piast Gliwice
1 - 2
Arka Gdynia
ARK
42%
28%
30%
73 66 7 0
15 Aug. 2008
ARK
Arka Gdynia
1 - 0
Górnik Zabrze
GÓR
47%
27%
26%
72 73 1 +1
10 Aug. 2008
ARK
Arka Gdynia
1 - 1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
JAG
57%
25%
19%
72 66 6 0
24 May. 2008
MOT
Motor Lublin
1 - 2
Arka Gdynia
ARK
23%
28%
50%
70 55 15 +2
21 May. 2008
ARK
Arka Gdynia
1 - 1
Odra Opole
ODR
76%
17%
7%
70 51 19 0

Matches

Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2008
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 0
Lech Poznań
LPO
57%
22%
21%
78 81 3 0
23 Aug. 2008
LPO
Lech Poznań
3 - 0
Górnik Zabrze
GÓR
63%
21%
16%
78 73 5 0
17 Aug. 2008
JAG
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 - 3
Lech Poznań
LPO
35%
27%
38%
78 67 11 0
14 Aug. 2008
LPO
Lech Poznań
6 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
47%
24%
30%
78 82 4 0
08 Aug. 2008
LPO
Lech Poznań
2 - 3
GKS Bełchatów
GKS
60%
23%
18%
77 75 2 +1