Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
PGL
1 - 2
ARK
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
ARK
1 - 0
GÓR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ARK
1 - 1
JAG
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
MOT
1 - 2
ARK
23%
28%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
ARK
1 - 1
ODR
76%
17%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
GCZ
0 - 0
LPO
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LPO
3 - 0
GÓR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 3
LPO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
LPO
6 - 0
GCZ
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
LPO
2 - 3
GKS
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |