USL Championship Jor. 16

Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC analysis

Phoenix Rising Orange County SC
60 ELO 58
10.4% Tilt 6.6%
2339º General ELO ranking 2551º
42º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
47.7%
Phoenix Rising
24.6%
Draw
27.7%
Orange County SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
Phoenix Rising
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.7%
Win probability
Orange County SC
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Phoenix Rising
-13%
-24%
Orange County SC

ELO progression

Phoenix Rising
Orange County SC
New Mexico United
Las Vegas Lights
Monterey Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2024
LVG
Las Vegas Lights
0 - 0
Phoenix Rising
ARI
18%
22%
60%
60 42 18 0
26 May. 2024
IND
Indy Eleven
2 - 1
Phoenix Rising
ARI
36%
27%
37%
60 58 2 0
23 May. 2024
SES
Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
Phoenix Rising
ARI
74%
17%
9%
60 85 25 0
19 May. 2024
ARI
Phoenix Rising
2 - 0
Miami FC
MIA
64%
21%
15%
59 51 8 +1
11 May. 2024
DET
Detroit City
1 - 1
Phoenix Rising
ARI
23%
27%
50%
59 54 5 0

Matches

Orange County SC
Orange County SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2024
ORA
Orange County SC
3 - 2
Detroit City
DET
52%
26%
23%
58 53 5 0
26 May. 2024
ORA
Orange County SC
0 - 2
Loudoun United
LOU
66%
21%
14%
59 44 15 -1
19 May. 2024
ORS
Oakland Roots
2 - 1
Orange County SC
ORA
22%
25%
52%
59 49 10 0
12 May. 2024
LOU
Louisville City
3 - 0
Orange County SC
ORA
53%
24%
24%
60 63 3 -1
08 May. 2024
ORA
Orange County SC
1 - 2
Loudoun United
LOU
71%
18%
11%
60 42 18 0
X