Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
KCW
23%
23%
55%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
HOD
2 - 1
ARI
58%
21%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARI
3 - 3
RGV
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
TAC
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
SAC
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 2
MBF
84%
11%
4%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |