Phoenix Rising vs Austin Aztex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
AUS
4 - 1
ARI
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
SEA
4 - 0
ARI
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 0
ORA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
ARI
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Austin Aztex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
AUS
4 - 1
ARI
64%
20%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
AUS
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
AUS
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 0
SAC
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
AUS
1 - 1
TUL
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |