Tercera Division IV - Euskadi round 21

Ariznabarra vs Santurtzi analysis

Ariznabarra Santurtzi
20 ELO 25
-11.1% Tilt 4.4%
6344º General ELO ranking 7075º
441º Country ELO ranking 655º
ELO win probability
35.3%
Ariznabarra
26.5%
Draw
38.1%
Santurtzi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
Ariznabarra
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.1%
Win probability
Santurtzi
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ariznabarra
-10%
-18%
Santurtzi

ELO progression

Ariznabarra
Santurtzi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ariznabarra
Ariznabarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2021
CDV
CD Vitoria
3 - 0
Ariznabarra
ARI
72%
18%
10%
20 42 22 0
06 Mar. 2021
LON
CD Lagun Onak
3 - 0
Ariznabarra
ARI
34%
25%
41%
21 21 0 -1
28 Feb. 2021
ARI
Ariznabarra
0 - 3
Urduliz FT
URD
29%
26%
45%
22 31 9 -1
07 Feb. 2021
ARI
Ariznabarra
0 - 0
SCD Durango
CDU
38%
26%
36%
22 26 4 0
03 Feb. 2021
ARI
Ariznabarra
2 - 0
San Ignacio
SAN
17%
21%
62%
20 32 12 +2

Matches

Santurtzi
Santurtzi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2021
SNT
Santurtzi
1 - 0
SCD Durango
CDU
41%
26%
33%
24 26 2 0
28 Feb. 2021
SOD
Sodupe
0 - 1
Santurtzi
SNT
61%
22%
18%
23 27 4 +1
24 Feb. 2021
SNT
Santurtzi
1 - 0
San Ignacio
SAN
24%
24%
52%
22 28 6 +1
20 Feb. 2021
SNT
Santurtzi
0 - 1
Anaitasuna FT
AFT
27%
24%
49%
23 29 6 -1
13 Feb. 2021
PAS
Pasaia KE
3 - 1
Santurtzi
SNT
71%
19%
11%
23 36 13 0