Aris Thessaloniki vs Kerkyra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
PGE
5 - 1
ARI
16%
27%
58%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ARI
0 - 3
TRI
53%
27%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 0
ARI
56%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARI
4 - 2
PAN
50%
28%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARI
1 - 0
OFI
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kerkyra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
KER
4 - 1
OFI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
OLP
0 - 1
KER
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
KER
2 - 2
AEK
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
KER
0 - 4
PAO
24%
28%
49%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ERG
1 - 0
KER
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |