Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 1
ARG
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ARG
0 - 0
LAN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 4
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
VEL
0 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
IND
1 - 1
NOB
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
IND
2 - 1
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
PLA
0 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
IND
3 - 0
QUI
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |