Arg. Rosario vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 1
ARR
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
LUG
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ITU
3 - 0
ARR
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
JUU
38%
28%
33%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
ARR
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 2
DPA
65%
23%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 0
YUP
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 2
ALE
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
LUG
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 1
ALE
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |