Arg. Quilmes vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
ARQ
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 2
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AND
0 - 0
ARQ
60%
23%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
ARQ
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
UAI
3 - 3
ARQ
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAD
3 - 1
JJU
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
CAD
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 1
ACA
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
CAD
2 - 2
SMG
46%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
STM
4 - 1
CAD
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |