Primera B Metro. Apertura round 4

Arg. Quilmes vs Def. Unidos analysis

Arg. Quilmes Def. Unidos
44 ELO 49
-10.2% Tilt -9.2%
2069º General ELO ranking 1697º
77º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Arg. Quilmes
26.9%
Draw
38.1%
Def. Unidos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
Arg. Quilmes
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.1%
Win probability
Def. Unidos
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arg. Quilmes
+18%
-11%
Def. Unidos

ELO progression

Arg. Quilmes
Def. Unidos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arg. Quilmes
Arg. Quilmes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2021
FEN
Fénix Bs As
1 - 1
Arg. Quilmes
ARQ
35%
28%
37%
44 43 1 0
13 Mar. 2021
ARQ
Arg. Quilmes
1 - 2
Colegiales
COL
54%
24%
22%
45 41 4 -1
06 Mar. 2021
AND
Los Andes
0 - 0
Arg. Quilmes
ARQ
60%
23%
16%
45 54 9 0
12 Jan. 2021
SUA
Tristán Suárez
1 - 1
Arg. Quilmes
ARQ
59%
23%
18%
44 51 7 +1
05 Jan. 2021
UAI
UAI Urquiza
3 - 3
Arg. Quilmes
ARQ
51%
26%
23%
44 50 6 0

Matches

Def. Unidos
Def. Unidos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2021
CAD
Def. Unidos
3 - 1
JJ Urquiza
JJU
40%
26%
34%
47 49 2 0
13 Mar. 2021
SAC
Sacachispas
0 - 1
Def. Unidos
CAD
39%
26%
35%
46 44 2 +1
06 Mar. 2021
CAD
Def. Unidos
1 - 1
Acassuso
ACA
40%
27%
33%
46 49 3 0
04 Jan. 2021
CAD
Def. Unidos
2 - 2
CA San Miguel
SMG
46%
26%
27%
46 46 0 0
29 Dec. 2020
STM
San Telmo
4 - 1
Def. Unidos
CAD
53%
25%
22%
47 50 3 -1