Arganda vs Aluche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 3
ARG
70%
18%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 2
CDF
37%
24%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 0
YEB
38%
26%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOB
1 - 0
ARG
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PNT
1 - 5
ALU
14%
20%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 0
ARA
19%
22%
60%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 0
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 1
CAM
51%
25%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
YEB
2 - 2
ALU
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |