Piala Indonesia Last 16
Global 3-3
Arema FC vs Persib analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
ARE
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PER
0 - 3
ARE
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARE
4 - 1
PER
72%
17%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 1
SRI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PST
0 - 1
ARE
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Persib
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
ARE
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
PER
7 - 0
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PER
0 - 0
PER
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PER
3 - 3
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
PSC
0 - 1
PER
13%
17%
70%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |