Ards FC vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
5 - 0
ARD
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WAK
0 - 5
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 2
WAR
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 2
LIN
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 0
KNO
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 4
CLI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |