Ards FC vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
ARD
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
WAR
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARD
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAL
17%
19%
64%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
4 - 2
GLE
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
5 - 1
DUN
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 2
CLI
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CLI
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |