Ards FC vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 2
ARC
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ARD
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 0
BAL
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 0
ARD
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ARD
0 - 0
GLE
19%
24%
56%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 5
CLI
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 0
COL
80%
14%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CLI
1 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |