Ardley United vs Virginia Water analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
HOL
38%
23%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARD
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
4 - 0
NOR
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 2
ARD
49%
21%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
RIS
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Virginia Water
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
VIR
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
W&C
1 - 4
VIR
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
VIR
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 2
VIR
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |