Arbroath vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
QOS
6 - 0
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 3
QOS
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 3
ALL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
EAS
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |