Arbon 05 vs Herisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SCB
1 - 1
ARB
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 2
FCB
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 0
FCD
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 2
FRE
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Herisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
FCW
56%
22%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 2
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HER
0 - 3
FRA
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
TOW
4 - 1
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
FCT
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |