Aravaca vs Colmenar Viejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CVI
1 - 2
ARA
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
UZN
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MOB
2 - 0
ARA
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 4
SFN
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 2
ARA
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Colmenar Viejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
COL
2 - 3
SSR
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAG
2 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
EFC
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FUN
2 - 6
COL
59%
19%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 4
CAN
39%
26%
36%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |