UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-5
Ararat Yerevan vs Sint-Truidense VV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCM
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
FCM
0 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ARA
2 - 1
KIL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1999 |
ARA
4 - 0
LER
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1999 |
ARA
3 - 0
ZAA
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
STR
6 - 0
SVA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
SVA
1 - 2
STR
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
STR
1 - 1
KSK
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
GNK
4 - 1
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |