Ararat-Armenia II vs Lernayin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
7º
5º
2
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
3 - 4
ARA
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 4
ARA
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
ARA
10%
18%
72%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
5 - 2
WAR
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
ARA
10%
18%
73%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
ARA
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
LAR
36%
21%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 0
LAR
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIK
16%
21%
62%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
3 - 1
LAR
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |