Ararat-Armenia II vs BKMA II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
7º
5º
69
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
SYU
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 3
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 2
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SYU
0 - 1
BKM
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
BKM
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 2
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
1 - 5
BKM
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |