Arapongas vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 0
ARA
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
IRA
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CIA
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LON
1 - 0
JMA
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
LON
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 0
LON
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |