Arapongas vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CCR
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
3 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
29%
24%
47%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COT
4 - 2
ATP
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 3
ATP
14%
23%
64%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |