Arahal vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 3
ARH
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARH
2 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
ARH
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARH
0 - 0
OSU
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADS
0 - 0
ARH
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
4 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OSU
0 - 0
MAI
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 1
ADS
57%
23%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BET
2 - 0
MAI
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
0 - 0
VEN
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |