Arahal vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 1
ARH
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARH
0 - 3
EST
75%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
ARH
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARH
4 - 1
DOS
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAZ
0 - 1
ARH
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROC
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PIL
0 - 1
ALC
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
MSQ
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |