Aragua FC vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ARA
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 2
DEP
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 1
CFC
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 0
TUC
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 0
TUC
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |