Aprilia vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
TER
3 - 1
APR
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIG
4 - 1
APR
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
APR
1 - 2
ISC
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 1
APR
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
APR
4 - 4
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RAA
2 - 0
VIG
27%
28%
45%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
RAA
51%
25%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RAA
2 - 1
USP
21%
25%
55%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TUT
3 - 0
RAA
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 3
NUO
9%
18%
73%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |