Aprilia vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
APR
33%
26%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
APR
3 - 1
TER
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
APR
1 - 2
VIG
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 0
APR
66%
21%
14%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
APR
2 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 6
USF
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
ISC
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 4
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |