Apolonia Fier vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 2
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
APO
3 - 1
BYL
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
APO
74%
19%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
APO
2 - 3
TOM
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 2
APO
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ILI
0 - 3
TIR
12%
25%
63%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ILI
1 - 0
TOM
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 0
ILI
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ILI
2 - 0
SHK
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
NAF
1 - 0
ILI
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |