Apolonia Fier vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
5º
58
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
APO
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ELB
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BES
0 - 0
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
VOR
3 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
KRU
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BYL
2 - 0
FLA
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |