Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Gazoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
PGE
0 - 0
APS
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
APS
0 - 1
OLY
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
APS
4 - 2
ANA
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 3
APS
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
APS
0 - 1
PAN
59%
25%
16%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Gazoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
IRA
41%
28%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ERG
1 - 0
ETH
71%
20%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NIK
1 - 0
ETH
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
THR
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
ETH
46%
27%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |