APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
9º
1º
31
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
API
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
API
1 - 2
SYD
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 2
API
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
API
3 - 0
WOL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STG
1 - 2
API
16%
17%
67%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
ROC
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
NWS
2 - 2
SUT
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
CCM
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 0
SUT
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 0
SYD
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |