National Premier Nueva Gales del Sur round 16

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons analysis

APIA Leichhardt Tigers Blacktown City Demons
51 ELO 52
1.5% Tilt 24.4%
4256º General ELO ranking 3622º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
38.4%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
25.9%
Draw
35.7%
Blacktown City Demons

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.7%
Win probability
Blacktown City Demons
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
-26%
-24%
Blacktown City Demons

ELO progression

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Blacktown City Demons
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2024
NWS
Nws Spirit
0 - 2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
API
15%
19%
66%
49 32 17 0
11 May. 2024
HIB
Hills Brumbies
1 - 2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
API
19%
20%
62%
48 32 16 +1
05 May. 2024
SYD
Sydney U21
1 - 7
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
API
12%
17%
71%
47 29 18 +1
28 Apr. 2024
WSW
Western Sydney Wanderers II
0 - 6
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
API
40%
23%
37%
45 43 2 +2
21 Apr. 2024
API
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3 - 2
Rockdale City Suns
ROC
37%
25%
38%
43 46 3 +2

Matches

Blacktown City Demons
Blacktown City Demons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2024
HIB
Hills Brumbies
0 - 2
Blacktown City Demons
BLA
20%
22%
57%
52 31 21 0
12 May. 2024
BLA
Blacktown City Demons
3 - 0
Marconi Stallions
MAR
61%
22%
18%
51 47 4 +1
04 May. 2024
BLA
Blacktown City Demons
3 - 1
Nws Spirit
NWS
77%
15%
9%
50 29 21 +1
28 Apr. 2024
SYD
Sydney Olympic
3 - 3
Blacktown City Demons
BLA
18%
23%
59%
50 37 13 0
21 Apr. 2024
WSW
Western Sydney Wanderers II
3 - 0
Blacktown City Demons
BLA
32%
24%
44%
50 41 9 0