Aparecidense vs Iporá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
APA
2 - 3
VOL
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 0
APA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
CON
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
APA
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
APA
0 - 0
FLO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
CEI
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
IPO
9%
19%
71%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
ANA
20%
27%
54%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
URO
3 - 0
IPO
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
IPO
0 - 2
LTD
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |